U₃O₈––.––FUTURESmodeled

Uranium & Nuclear Fuel Supply Chain

Market concentration and chokepoints across mining, conversion, enrichment, fuel fabrication, and reactors

Nuclear fuel
value chain ↓
— Distribution —
Market actors →
🇺🇸USA
🇷🇺Russia
🇨🇳China
🇫🇷France
🇨🇦Canada
🇰🇿Kazakh.
🇰🇷S. Korea
Others
The WestRussia / China
EXTRACTION
Uranium Mining
WNA, 2024 production
1%
5%
3%
—
24%
39%
—
28%
• Cameco
• BHP
• Orano
• Kazatomprom
• Uranium One
• CGN
PROCESSING
Conversion
U₃O₈ → UF₆
WNA, 2023–24 capacity
17%
26%
7%
29%
21%
—
—
—
• Orano
• Cameco
• ConverDyn
• Rosatom
• CNNC
Enrichment
UF₆ → LEU
WNA, 2023–24 capacity
11%
44%
17%
12%
—
—
—
16%
• Urenco
• Orano
• Centrus
• Rosatom
• CNNC
MANUFACTURING
Fuel Fabrication
WNA, 2023–24 capacity
27%
18%
11%
17%
—
—
7%
20%
• Westinghouse
• Framatome
• GNF
• KEPCO NF
• TVEL
• CNNC
END USE
Reactor Operation
GWe installed
IAEA PRIS, 2025
26%
7%
15%
17%
3%
—
7%
25%
• Exelon/CEG
• EDF
• KHNP
• Tepco
• Rosatom
• CNNC
• CGN
Reactor Exports
units abroad
WNISR, 2025
6%
63%
3%
6%
—
—
6%
16%
• Westinghouse
• EDF
• KHNP
• Rosatom
• CNNC

Key chokepoints & investor context

Enrichment is the critical bottleneck. Russia holds 44% of global capacity — more than all Western enrichers combined. The US banned Russian LEU imports in 2024 (through 2040), but Western capacity won't close the gap until ~2028–30. SWU spot prices hit record highs of ~$170/SWU in 2024.
Russia is uniquely vertically integrated. Rosatom spans mining → conversion → enrichment → fuel fabrication → reactor construction → financing. No Western entity matches this. Cameco's $8.2B acquisition of Westinghouse (2023) was the closest attempt at building a Western counterpart.
China is building self-sufficiency. With 32 reactors under construction (half the global total) and growing domestic capacity at every supply chain stage, China is systematically reducing import dependency. CNNC enrichment capacity is expanding rapidly — watch the “China” column fill in over the next decade.
The US has gaps at every mid-stream stage. Scan the USA column: 1% of mining, 17% of conversion, 11% of enrichment. The US is the world's largest nuclear power consumer but relies almost entirely on imports for its fuel. Federal investment ($3.4B in LEU contracts, HALEU funding) is attempting to rebuild domestic capacity.

Publicly traded companies across the supply chain

Mining
CCJ — Cameco
KAP — Kazatomprom
NXE — NexGen Energy
DNN — Denison Mines
PDN — Paladin Energy
UEC — Uranium Energy
UUUU — Energy Fuels
Enrichment
LEU — Centrus Energy
SLX.AX — Silex Systems

Urenco & Orano are state-owned and not publicly listed

Fabrication / Integrated
CCJ — Cameco (owns Westinghouse)
GEV — GE Vernova (GNF JV)
BWXT — BWX Technologies
Reactors / Utilities
CEG — Constellation Energy
VST — Vistra
SMR — NuScale Power
OKLO — Oklo
Physical uranium vehicles: SRUUF / U.UN — Sprott Physical Uranium Trust  | YCA.LSE — Yellow Cake plc
Uranium equity ETFs (hold miner shares, not pounds): URNM — Sprott Uranium Miners ETF  | URA — Global X Uranium ETF  | HURA.TO — Global X Uranium Index ETF

Sources: World Nuclear Association (2024–25), IAEA PRIS, US EIA Uranium Marketing Annual Report 2025, Euratom Supply Agency, OECD-NEA, Thunder Said Energy, Enerdata, World Nuclear Industry Status Report 2025. Figures are approximate market shares; each stage row shows the vintage of its own series. Enrichment “Others” includes Urenco facilities in UK, Netherlands, Germany and minor producers (Japan, Brazil). Mining “Others” includes Niger, India, South Africa, Ukraine, and other producers. This is not investment advice.

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