U₃O₈––.––FUTURESmodeled

Uranium import monitor

Customs records are the only free, transaction-derived signal in uranium. This monitor tracks monthly US and EU imports across the fuel chain — ores & concentrates (HS 2612.10), natural uranium (2844.10), and enriched uranium (2844.20) — headlined by the flows the market watches most: Russian enriched uranium into the US against its statutory waiver caps, and into the EU (497M over the trailing 12 months).

United States

USITC DataWeb · imports for consumption
US customs data (USITC DataWeb) activates in production, where the DataWeb token is configured — the monthly trade-flows cron banks it on the 5th. Until the first bank, this section stays honestly empty rather than showing modeled numbers.

Statutory Russian LEU waiver caps (42 U.S.C. § 2297h-10a(d)(2)(B)(i))

Calendar yearCap (kg U in LEU)
2024476,536
2025470,376
2026464,183
2027459,083
2028+0 — waivers terminate 2028-01-01

Prohibiting Russian Uranium Imports Act (Pub. L. 118-62), ban effective 2024-08-11; annual limits per 42 U.S.C. § 2297h-10a(d)(2)(B)(i); waiver process per DOE's Federal Register instructions. Caps are kilograms of uranium contained in LEU; customs quantities are declared net kilograms of the imported compound (mostly UF₆, ~68% U by mass), so the charted customs series slightly overstates contained uranium — a conservative comparison, not a compliance determination.

European Union

Eurostat Comext · EU27 imports

EU imports of enriched uranium from Russia

Real

Monthly customs value (€M, bars) and unit value (€/kg, line) for HS 2844.20. Customs records — transaction-derived, ~1-month lag.

real · Eurostat Comext (EU customs)yellowcakeanalytics.com

Natural uranium (HS 2844.10) — EU origin mix, trailing 12M

Real
OriginValue (€M, 12M)Tonnes (12M)Share
Canada841.6841440%
Kazakhstan292.4309614%
France (incl. Saint Barthélemy 'BL' -> 2012; incl. French Guiana 'GF', Guadeloupe 'GP', Martinique 'MQ', Réunion 'RE' from 1997; incl. Mayotte 'YT' from 2014)289.8192114%
United States (incl. Navassa Island (part of 'UM') from 1995 -> 2000)275.4168313%
Netherlands260.5179412%
Uzbekistan138.019167%

Uranium ores & concentrates (HS 2612.10) — EU origin mix, trailing 12M

Real
OriginValue (€M, 12M)Tonnes (12M)Share
Germany (incl. German Democratic Republic 'DD' from 1991)0.1567%
Netherlands0.0816%
Italy (incl. San Marino 'SM' -> 1993)0.008%
Namibia0.014%
China0.004%
Mongolia0.002%

Methodology

US: USITC DataWeb (US customs), imports for consumption by HTS code and origin, monthly, ~6-week publication lag. Values are declared customs value in dollars; quantities are the first unit of quantity (kg). All-origin unit values (customs value ÷ quantity) are banked monthly as import_unit_value_* price observations. EU: Eurostat Comext (EU customs), dataset DS-045409 (EU27 as reporter, monthly, ~1-month lag), euros and declared net mass. Unit values are derived from real transactions but blend contract vintages and enrichment levels — a signal, not a spot price. Figures are banked append-only on capture; upstream revisions never overwrite our history. Nothing here uses paywalled price-agency indicators. See full methodology.

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